Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.398173 0.469446 0.547986 0.640705 0.746909 0.864488 1.004236
2024-10-20 0.281119 0.372805 0.484253 0.628601 0.809392 1.027025 1.307368
2024-10-27 0.209680 0.308236 0.438620 0.621211 0.867345 1.184289 1.619321
2024-11-03 0.167963 0.270219 0.415766 0.633527 0.945544 1.370012 1.983085
2024-11-10 0.136684 0.238772 0.393988 0.640232 1.012327 1.542958 2.343160
2024-11-17 0.112453 0.212129 0.373187 0.642661 1.069688 1.704521 2.698589
2024-11-24 0.095260 0.192945 0.359831 0.652794 1.137130 1.884016 3.092559
2024-12-01 0.080344 0.174342 0.343744 0.654948 1.190211 2.044053 3.467840
2024-12-08 0.064863 0.151176 0.315491 0.631563 1.197161 2.130160 3.732567
2024-12-15 0.057946 0.143429 0.313778 0.654114 1.283106 2.349152 4.223909
2024-12-22 0.051371 0.134942 0.309103 0.670064 1.358146 2.554771 4.706766
2024-12-29 0.048097 0.133069 0.317136 0.710809 1.481232 2.850460 5.359451
2025-01-05 0.040791 0.120403 0.301317 0.703431 1.515874 2.998050 5.775667
2025-01-12 0.034483 0.108682 0.285586 0.694088 1.545700 3.139438 6.191754
2025-01-19 0.029376 0.098765 0.272128 0.687462 1.579619 3.290069 6.633696
2025-01-26 0.026221 0.093416 0.268422 0.701479 1.656282 3.525524 7.244549
2025-02-02 0.023149 0.087495 0.262275 0.709025 1.719881 3.740156 7.829912
2025-02-09 0.020275 0.081387 0.254561 0.711763 1.773161 3.937988 8.395327
2025-02-16 0.018125 0.077008 0.250606 0.722876 1.845441 4.177951 9.055232
2025-02-23 0.015928 0.071823 0.243520 0.725244 1.898191 4.381755 9.656473
2025-03-02 0.013155 0.063649 0.226406 0.699671 1.884419 4.447638 9.988990
2025-03-09 0.012202 0.062080 0.228412 0.724339 1.989967 4.769272 10.851586
2025-03-16 0.011145 0.059774 0.227772 0.741780 2.079735 5.062902 11.672953